Malaysian Grand Prix

Fastest Friday Practice	Price	Fastest Saturday Practice	Price	Fastest Qualifying	Price
Lewis Hamilton	4/7	Nico Rosberg	4/1	Lewis Hamilton	1/3
Amount won/lost on a £1 bet	-£1	Amount won/lost on a £1 bet	-£1	Amount won/lost on a £1 bet	-£1
Amount won/lost on a £10 bet	-£10	Amount won/lost on a £10 bet	-£10	Amount won/lost on a £10 bet	-£10
Season Total £1 bets	-£2	Season Total £1 bets	£0.36	Season Total £1 bets	£0.36
Season Total £10 bets	-£20	Season Total £10 bets	£3.64	Season Total £10 bets	£3.64

I’d feel a lot worse about losing my imaginary money, but there was a Ferrari win and therefore all is right with the world.

Australian Grand Prix

The new season is upon us. It is a great and joyous time. (Fingers crossed for Ferrari.) That being said, it’s time to do my yearly thing of betting odds, in my continuing attempts to reach statistical significance.

Fastest Friday Practice	Price	Fastest Saturday Practice	Price	Fastest Qualifying	Price
Nico Rosberg	5/2	Lewis Hamilton	4/11	Lewis Hamilton	4/11
Amount won/lost on a £1 bet	-£1	Amount won/lost on a £1 bet	£1.36	Amount won/lost on a £1 bet	£1.36
Amount won/lost on a £10 bet	-£10	Amount won/lost on a £10 bet	£13.64	Amount won/lost on a £10 bet	£13.64
Season Total £1 bets	-£1	Season Total £1 bets	£1.36	Season Total £1 bets	£1.36
Season Total £10 bets	-£10	Season Total £10 bets	£13.64	Season Total £10 bets	£13.64

The values are mangled because I couldn’t get to the William Hill website in time between Saturday practice and qualifying.

As for the race, if Mercedes keep that up, they’ll have won by the middle of the season, and the people they advertise on their cars are going to ask them to slow down because they’re getting no coverage.

‘Twas the night before the first qualifying session of the season

For an F1 fan, the week before the first grand prix of the season is probably the most wonderful time of the year.  It’s the last time we can pretend to ourselves that all the cars and drivers might stand half a chance at actually winning something and that it won’t just be a two horse race featuring whichever manufacturer has the best car (it’s going to be Mercedes this season).

You can still, at this point, lie to yourself and say that if the team you like have done poorly in testing, they have been sandbagging, and if they’ve been doing well, it’s because the car is good, not because they’ve been running light on fuel.

As a Ferrari fan, I am trying not to be optimistic.  I have been here too often.  Because the car looks good, and looks to be performing reasonably well and … if the Mercedes hit each other often enough Ferrari might, might, might just win a few races and then and then … and you’ll note I said trying not to be optimistic, not succeeding.